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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+3.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+0.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+2.90vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-0.89vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-1.94vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-2.04vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-1.75vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-1.54vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.25-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.06Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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12.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.25University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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15.46Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Leuck | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| August Sturm | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Christian Koules | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 25.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 43.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.