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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+7.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+5.08vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+5.70vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+1.86vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.95vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+6.40vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-0.84vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-5.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-2.06vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-7.98vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.72vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.53-2.76vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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15.4Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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14.24University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 42.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| August Sturm | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christian Koules | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 23.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.