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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+0.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+0.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+0.65vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.55-0.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.25-2.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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2.6Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.47Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.3Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.87Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 30.4% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ian Donahue | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 18.9% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 24.8% | 17.8% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| Jacob Denney | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.