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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+3.37vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+2.94vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+0.45vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60-0.76vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82-0.35vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.35-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.83-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Tulane University1.3411.8%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston1.268.8%1st Place
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3.45Tulane University2.0218.8%1st Place
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2.85Stanford University2.1928.5%1st Place
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4.24University of South Florida1.6011.8%1st Place
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5.65Jacksonville University0.825.9%1st Place
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4.76Tulane University1.358.5%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida0.836.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 12.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 18.8% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 28.5% | 22.7% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 28.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
| Grace Jones | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.