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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+8.78vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+7.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.09+7.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+1.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.21vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.25+3.59vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.68vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-6.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.63vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-4.13vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.42-9.76vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.53-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.59University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.38Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.97University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| JC Hermus | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 43.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Koules | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.