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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+6.94vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+9.94vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+5.97vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+1.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+5.68vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+9.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-0.93vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.09+3.20vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-8.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-5.53vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-1.80vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.95-7.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.94University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.55Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.33Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.85Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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14.2University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Leuck | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jensen McTighe | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 43.9% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 6.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Christian Koules | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.