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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+5.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.39vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39-1.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75-0.05vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+1.27vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.84vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-0.74vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59-0.83vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute0.30+1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.86vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.28-3.59vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.48-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.26Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.17University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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15.65Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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15.32Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| George Hambleton | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 20.2% | 39.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 9.6% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 23.0% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.