← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.39+4.98vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.18+4.65vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.14vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+3.66vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.75+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.33-1.03vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.23-1.79vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.27vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.49-1.85vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.19vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan1.28+0.14vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.20-4.15vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.16-4.78vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.59-3.55vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University0.48-1.52vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute0.30-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.98Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.65Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.14U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
7.66Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.03Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.21College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.15Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
13.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
13.14University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
-
9.85Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
-
10.22Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
12.45University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
15.48Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
-
15.66Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 35.2% |
| George Hambleton | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 22.8% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.