Race 12A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Tallman 13.6% 13.7% 13.6% 13.7% 12.6% 12.7% 10.4% 6.8% 3.1%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.7% 14.0% 14.6% 15.0% 11.6% 11.7% 9.0% 6.9% 1.5%
Kelly Holthus 21.8% 18.8% 16.7% 13.8% 12.2% 8.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Peter Foley 11.4% 14.1% 12.6% 11.9% 14.3% 12.8% 10.8% 9.2% 2.8%
Charlie Herrick 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 9.6% 8.8% 12.1% 16.6% 20.5% 12.7%
Ricky Miller 5.2% 7.0% 7.7% 6.9% 9.1% 11.1% 15.8% 23.8% 13.4%
Dylan Sih 14.1% 13.1% 14.2% 14.1% 14.3% 10.5% 10.3% 7.1% 2.1%
Hank Seum 10.4% 11.2% 10.8% 11.8% 13.9% 16.1% 13.4% 9.4% 3.0%
Zachary Aronson 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 5.0% 7.6% 14.1% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.