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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72+1.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.25-0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97-2.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.03-0.34vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.55-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.3Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.88University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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6.66Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.82Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 32.1% | 25.0% | 19.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 18.4% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 18.2% |
| Jacob Denney | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Ian Donahue | 17.4% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 20.2% | 48.7% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.