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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.39vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+8.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+3.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+4.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.47vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82-0.22vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-3.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-3.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.85vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59+0.63vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.28-0.95vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute0.30+0.82vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.69vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.48-1.50vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.4Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.4College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.63University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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15.82Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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15.5Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jack Brown | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hanley | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| George Hambleton | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 22.3% | 40.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 34.4% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.