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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+7.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+0.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-2.29vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+1.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-1.43vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.75-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.94vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.12vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.28-2.61vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute0.30-1.12vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.48-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.19College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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15.88Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
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15.29Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Matt Safford | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.0% |
| George Hambleton | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 22.3% | 42.9% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 24.4% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.