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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.20vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+5.97vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.75+5.26vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+2.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+0.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49+0.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.17vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-3.36vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-0.72vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.41vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.99vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.48+0.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.01vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.28-3.57vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute0.30-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.28Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.01University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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15.45Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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15.69Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 32.9% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| George Hambleton | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 23.2% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.