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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+4.31vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+7.17vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+3.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.08vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-0.91vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-5.27vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-5.83vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-3.03vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute0.30+1.43vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-2.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.19-1.16vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.48-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.17Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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15.43Webb Institute0.300.0%1st Place
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12.05University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Michigan0.190.0%1st Place
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15.03Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Matt Safford | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| George Hambleton | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 24.0% | 29.7% |
| Ethan Hanley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Jake Orhan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 23.1% | 38.6% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.