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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.74+1.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+0.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.33vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-1.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.52Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.94Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 32.4% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.8% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Donahue | 16.1% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 24.5% | 17.4% |
| Jacob Denney | 9.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 26.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.