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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+2.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+0.38vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19-2.10vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.69-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.83-1.20vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Tulane University2.0218.6%1st Place
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4.88College of Charleston1.268.8%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University0.826.6%1st Place
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4.38University of South Florida1.6011.8%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.1925.7%1st Place
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4.17Tulane University1.6913.4%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida0.835.0%1st Place
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4.56Tulane University1.3410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Samantha Gardner | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
Emily Alfortish | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.1% |
Agija Elerte | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 30.0% |
Kay Brunsvold | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
Sophie Fisher | 25.7% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Ashley Hoguet | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
Grace Jones | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 29.3% |
Lucy Spearman | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.