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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+2.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+2.29vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.29vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33-1.95vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-2.98vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.24-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.14vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.62William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.05Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.02Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.86Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.01American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 20.8% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 22.8% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 23.9% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 26.8% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 20.2% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.