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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+1.92vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+2.69vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.24+1.85vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33-0.96vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-0.74vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.74vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11-3.65vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.14vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Christopher Newport University1.350.3%1st Place
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4.69William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.85Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.04Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.26Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.26Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.35Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.03American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 25.4% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 22.4% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 19.6% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 19.1% | 59.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.