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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+1.91vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.40vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.33+0.04vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.24+0.90vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-0.73vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.73vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.14vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Christopher Newport University1.350.3%1st Place
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3.4Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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3.04Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.9Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.62William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.0American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 25.2% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 18.5% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 23.5% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 26.8% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 20.1% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.