← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.59+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.33+0.03vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.37+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.35-2.01vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.59-1.78vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.24-2.15vs Predicted
-
8American University-1.27-0.95vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-0.35-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.42Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.03Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.67William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
2.99Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
-
4.22Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.85Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
-
7.05American University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.77University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 17.9% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 23.5% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 24.6% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.