← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.33+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.35+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.59+1.38vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.48vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.37-0.24vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.70-1.86vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech0.59-3.62vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.27-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
-
3.1Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
-
4.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.52Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
-
4.76William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.14Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
-
4.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
7.08American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 24.2% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.6% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 17.0% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 29.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 19.1% | 60.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.