← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.33+2.01vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.70+2.23vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.11+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.59+0.41vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.35-1.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-0.35-0.12vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary0.37-2.19vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech0.59-3.59vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.27-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.23Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
-
3.49Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
-
4.41Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.1Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
-
5.88University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
-
4.81William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.41Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
7.07American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 24.5% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 17.2% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 21.9% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 28.2% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 20.2% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.