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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.33+2.06vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+2.82vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+1.37vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35-0.89vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.70-0.85vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.63vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11-3.55vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.04vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.82William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.37Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.11Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.37Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.45Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.08American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 24.2% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 21.7% | 23.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 18.9% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 31.2% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 61.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.