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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+2.43vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.70+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.35+2.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33-0.84vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35-1.89vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.62vs Predicted
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7American University-1.27+0.09vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37-3.31vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.23Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.16Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.11Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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7.09American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.69William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 18.8% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 33.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 22.0% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.2% | 23.4% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 64.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.