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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.33+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.35+3.94vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.35+0.10vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37+0.78vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-1.52vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.70-1.85vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-2.58vs Predicted
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8American University-1.27-0.90vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.78William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.48Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.42Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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7.1American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.42Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 23.8% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 29.9% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.5% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 16.7% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 12.1% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 62.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.