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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.33+1.95vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+1.00vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+1.66vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.58vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.24-0.13vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-1.12vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-3.79vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.0Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.66William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.42Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.87Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.21Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.21Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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7.01American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 24.6% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 23.9% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 17.7% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 27.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 59.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.