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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.82+3.25vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+2.20vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.45+1.68vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.14+0.97vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.84-1.91vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.91-0.84vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.28-4.68vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.26-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Stanford University1.8213.0%1st Place
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4.2College of Charleston1.8114.6%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.4511.5%1st Place
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4.47Florida State University1.6913.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Wisconsin1.144.8%1st Place
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4.09Tulane University1.8414.2%1st Place
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6.16Rice University0.914.8%1st Place
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3.32Tulane University2.2822.6%1st Place
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7.87Texas A&M University-0.261.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Dylan Sih | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
Emma Tallman | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
Hank Seum | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
Peter Foley | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
Charlie Herrick | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 10.7% |
Matheo Graham-capasso | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Ricky Miller | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 14.9% |
Kelly Holthus | 22.6% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
Zachary Aronson | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.