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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+2.33vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+2.26vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.24+0.89vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35-1.97vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-1.20vs Predicted
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8American University-1.27-0.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.26Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.26Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.89Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.69William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.05American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.94Old Dominion University1.330.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 19.1% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.9% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 28.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 62.7% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 25.5% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.