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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.33+1.96vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+2.27vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.24+1.87vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.62vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-0.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-3.03vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.15vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Old Dominion University1.330.3%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.87Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.38Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.68William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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2.97Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.02American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Baumann | 25.2% | 19.9% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 18.4% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 23.2% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 28.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 58.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.