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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+3.28vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+1.10vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+0.51vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33-1.84vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.70-1.83vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.02vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.51Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.16Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.17Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.74William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.06American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.9% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 19.1% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 22.4% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 28.1% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 59.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.