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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+2.34vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+0.99vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+1.30vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33-0.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.24-0.09vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-1.20vs Predicted
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8American University-1.27-0.94vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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2.99Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.3Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.04Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.91Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.3Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.06American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.55William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 19.1% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 24.2% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 23.1% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 27.7% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 62.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.6% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.