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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+3.17vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.39vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.33+0.01vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.17vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35-1.97vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.24-1.08vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37-2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.12vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.39Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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3.01Old Dominion University1.330.3%1st Place
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4.17Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.92Christopher Newport University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.6William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.99American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 18.3% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 25.2% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 23.1% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 26.6% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.