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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+3.27vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+2.27vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+1.82vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.35+0.92vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.70-1.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.35-3.93vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.33-4.83vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.82William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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5.92University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.16Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.07Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.17Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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7.09American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 18.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 31.9% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 23.6% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 22.5% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 19.2% | 60.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.