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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+3.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+2.29vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.35+0.10vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.70+0.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33-1.83vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-1.23vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11-3.55vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-2.02vs Predicted
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9American University-1.27-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.19Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.17Old Dominion University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.77William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.45Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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5.98University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.06American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 22.0% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 21.4% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 19.1% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 29.4% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 60.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.