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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.32+3.46vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.52+2.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.17vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.78vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.21-3.14vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.44-2.81vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.97-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Pennsylvania1.1616.7%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University-0.325.7%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Maritime College-0.524.7%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2911.8%1st Place
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3.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9220.6%1st Place
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2.86Cornell University1.2126.8%1st Place
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4.19Columbia University0.4411.2%1st Place
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6.76Princeton University-0.972.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 16.7% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 15.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 26.4% | 19.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 20.6% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 26.8% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.