← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.60+3.33vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.02+1.54vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.19-0.05vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.26+0.91vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.69-1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.83-1.13vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.34-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33University of South Florida1.6010.9%1st Place
-
3.54Tulane University2.0218.6%1st Place
-
2.95Stanford University2.1926.2%1st Place
-
4.91College of Charleston1.269.6%1st Place
-
5.73Jacksonville University0.826.0%1st Place
-
4.11Tulane University1.6914.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of South Florida0.834.3%1st Place
-
4.58Tulane University1.3410.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kay Brunsvold | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
Samantha Gardner | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
Sophie Fisher | 26.2% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Emily Alfortish | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
Agija Elerte | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 28.1% |
Ashley Hoguet | 14.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
Grace Jones | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 30.6% |
Lucy Spearman | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.