Race 14A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 21.4% 19.9% 15.8% 15.8% 11.8% 7.6% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Dylan Sih 14.8% 13.1% 16.6% 13.4% 13.1% 11.0% 10.0% 6.3% 1.8%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.2% 14.2% 13.9% 14.4% 13.0% 11.3% 10.9% 5.5% 1.5%
Emma Tallman 12.8% 13.5% 13.6% 13.2% 13.9% 12.3% 10.0% 8.2% 2.5%
Peter Foley 12.6% 13.3% 12.5% 13.5% 13.1% 14.0% 10.3% 8.4% 2.5%
Ricky Miller 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.4% 9.0% 12.2% 17.1% 23.8% 13.0%
Charlie Herrick 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.9% 10.0% 12.0% 16.2% 22.4% 12.3%
Hank Seum 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 12.0% 14.6% 12.8% 10.4% 3.5%
Zachary Aronson 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 4.9% 7.1% 13.2% 62.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.