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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.98+1.36vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.65-1.27vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.57-1.26vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.23-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.45-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Texas0.980.3%1st Place
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1.73Tulane University1.650.5%1st Place
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2.74Tulane University0.570.2%1st Place
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4.4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.230.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ota Dvorak | 25.8% | 31.9% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 2.9% |
| Caelan Watts | 50.9% | 29.8% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Cam Farrah | 16.2% | 24.1% | 35.1% | 18.5% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Rogalski | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 23.2% | 62.8% |
| Frederik Winguth | 4.7% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 40.5% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.