← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University0.57+1.76vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.65-0.25vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.23+0.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas0.98-2.67vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-0.45-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76Tulane University0.570.2%1st Place
-
1.75Tulane University1.650.5%1st Place
-
4.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.230.0%1st Place
-
2.33University of Texas0.980.3%1st Place
-
3.75University of Texas-0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Farrah | 17.1% | 23.8% | 31.7% | 21.1% | 6.3% |
| Caelan Watts | 49.6% | 30.8% | 15.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Rogalski | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 20.9% | 64.7% |
| Ota Dvorak | 25.8% | 30.9% | 29.5% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Frederik Winguth | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 43.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.