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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.65+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.98+0.35vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.23+0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.45-1.23vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.57-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Tulane University1.650.5%1st Place
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2.35University of Texas0.980.2%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.230.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
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2.75Tulane University0.570.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Watts | 51.8% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ota Dvorak | 24.6% | 33.6% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Rogalski | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 21.5% | 62.7% |
| Frederik Winguth | 4.4% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 40.4% | 27.8% |
| Cam Farrah | 16.6% | 24.4% | 32.4% | 20.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.