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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.65+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.98-0.68vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.57-1.26vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.23-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.45-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Tulane University1.650.5%1st Place
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2.32University of Texas0.980.2%1st Place
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2.74Tulane University0.570.2%1st Place
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4.4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.230.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Texas-0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Watts | 50.6% | 28.5% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Ota Dvorak | 24.7% | 34.5% | 26.4% | 12.6% | 1.8% |
| Cam Farrah | 16.8% | 23.3% | 34.4% | 19.7% | 5.8% |
| Joseph Rogalski | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 21.8% | 63.8% |
| Frederik Winguth | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 40.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.