Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Colin Brego 40.2% 29.3% 17.0% 8.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 22.2% 23.2% 22.6% 13.8% 11.7% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 17.1% 19.2% 22.3% 18.8% 12.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Stephen Poirier 4.6% 6.9% 7.8% 13.0% 17.2% 18.4% 19.1% 13.0%
Hanna Mass 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 5.1% 6.9% 12.1% 19.4% 49.8%
Joshua Stone 7.5% 8.0% 13.6% 18.2% 17.9% 16.8% 12.4% 5.6%
Mott Blair 3.9% 5.5% 7.5% 11.2% 15.2% 19.3% 22.8% 14.6%
Alexander Runci 2.8% 5.9% 6.2% 11.3% 15.2% 19.8% 22.4% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.