← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy0.72+4.42vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.28vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.36-0.14vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.93-1.85vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.33vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.23-1.40vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.18-0.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.58-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
2.86Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
-
2.15Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
-
5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
4.6University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
-
6.78Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.59University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mott Blair | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 14.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.5% | 20.8% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 23.2% | 23.5% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Colin Brego | 38.8% | 28.5% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Stone | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 52.2% |
| Alexander Runci | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.