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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+6.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+6.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+6.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26+5.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+1.99vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49+1.25vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16+3.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69+2.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.03-4.24vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.64vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-5.24vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.18-3.85vs Predicted
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16Williams College-1.12+2.19vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-8.46vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.29vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.10-9.08vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.46-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Yale University2.4217.2%1st Place
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8.24Boston College1.957.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University1.604.9%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.5511.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.263.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.5%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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10.25Northwestern University1.494.5%1st Place
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13.13Tufts University1.162.3%1st Place
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13.16Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.037.4%1st Place
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14.64Maine Maritime Academy0.411.6%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.976.0%1st Place
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11.15Bowdoin College1.183.1%1st Place
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18.19Williams College-1.120.6%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University1.946.0%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.8%1st Place
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9.92Harvard University2.104.3%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Andy Yu | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Shea Smith | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 62.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.