← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.93+1.11vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.36+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.23+0.66vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.58+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.18+0.71vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.65vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
-
2.88Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
4.66University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
-
5.7University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.71Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
5.38Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 40.9% | 28.2% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.9% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 17.6% | 18.5% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 25.2% | 17.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 49.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 13.5% |
| Mott Blair | 2.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.