← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.36+1.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.93+0.16vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.24vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.49vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.18+1.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.58-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.23-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
-
2.16Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
-
3.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.49Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.73Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
4.54University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 22.5% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Brego | 38.9% | 27.9% | 18.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 17.4% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mott Blair | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 15.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 49.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 11.8% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.