← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.93+1.13vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.23+2.64vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.21vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.36-1.13vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.51vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.76vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.18-0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.58-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
-
4.64University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
-
3.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
2.87Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
-
5.51Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.76Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.63University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 40.4% | 27.8% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Stone | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.9% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.5% | 23.7% | 23.3% | 17.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 14.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 11.3% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 51.8% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.