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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.93+1.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.28vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.23+0.65vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.18+1.78vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36-3.14vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.58-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
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3.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.43Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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6.78Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.86Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 41.3% | 26.5% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.1% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Mott Blair | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 14.7% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 50.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 20.9% | 25.3% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.