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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+0.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.22vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.23-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.58-0.31vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.18-0.23vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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2.16Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
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3.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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2.86Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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6.77Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.38Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 11.4% |
| Colin Brego | 40.0% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 17.6% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 22.1% | 24.7% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 51.1% |
| Mott Blair | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.