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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.58+2.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36-1.10vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23-1.36vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.18-0.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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2.18Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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2.9Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.48Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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6.77Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 17.9% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Colin Brego | 39.0% | 27.5% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.9% | 23.7% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mott Blair | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 14.1% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 51.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.