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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+1.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+0.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.24vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.58+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23-1.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.68vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.18-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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2.17Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
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3.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.48Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.7Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 23.9% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Brego | 38.5% | 28.8% | 18.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 17.3% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mott Blair | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 15.4% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 18.9% |
| Joshua Stone | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 5.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 12.9% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.