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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+1.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+3.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93-0.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.79vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.58-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.23-2.34vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.18-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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2.13Boston College2.930.4%1st Place
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3.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.49Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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6.72Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 21.9% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 12.8% |
| Colin Brego | 40.5% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 16.8% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 14.7% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 22.0% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.