Race 11A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Joshua Stone 6.9% 9.2% 14.5% 17.9% 17.4% 15.6% 12.9% 5.6%
Colin Brego 37.9% 30.8% 15.9% 9.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 18.1% 19.1% 21.6% 18.6% 12.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Stephen Poirier 4.5% 6.7% 8.1% 12.7% 16.1% 20.2% 19.2% 12.5%
Alexander Runci 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 11.5% 14.4% 19.2% 21.7% 19.5%
Mott Blair 4.5% 4.6% 9.4% 11.3% 15.3% 20.7% 18.8% 15.4%
Adrian van der Wal 22.8% 23.2% 20.7% 15.4% 11.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Hanna Mass 1.8% 2.3% 3.7% 3.3% 8.7% 11.7% 22.6% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.